Stefon Diggs Fantasy football ranking: 2020 outlook, projections, ADP, value, predictions, stats

After spending the first five years of his career with the Minnesota Vikings, Stefon Diggs will be a member of the Buffalo Bills in 2020. Diggs has ranked as high as the WR10 in Fantasy in Minnesota, while finishing inside the top 24 receivers in each of the past three seasons. He'll have a new quarterback and offensive system to familiarize himself with this season, though. Where should he be in your 2020 Fantasy football rankings, and what Stefon Diggs Fantasy football outlook can you expect?

Unlike in his time in Minnesota, Diggs should be allowed to operate as the clear WR1 in Buffalo's offense. John Brown and Cole Beasley don't present the type of competition for targets that Adam Thielen did, and Buffalo's first-round draft pick investment in Diggs would seem to signify that he will have every opportunity to see a career-high target total in 2020. Will the increase in targets be enough to offset the decrease in the level of efficiency of said targets while catching passes from Josh Allen instead of Kirk Cousins?

The 2020 Stefon Diggs Fantasy football value remains strong, as he's set for another 100-catch campaign. He's a first-round candidate in most formats, but how high should he be in your 2020 Fantasy football rankings? Here's what you need to know:

So which players are poised for breakouts, which sleepers do you need to jump on, and which busts should you avoid at all costs in your Fantasy football league? Join SportsLine now to get early 2020 Fantasy football rankings, plus see which WR is going to come out of nowhere to crack the top 10, all from the model that out-performed experts big time last season.

Stefon Diggs Fantasy ADP & ranking (via SportsLine's projection model)

No. 51.9 ADP
No. 23 WR (non-PPR)
No. 22 WR (PPR)

Stefon Diggs Fantasy projections (via SportsLine's projection model) 

110 targets, 60.5 receptions, 1,006 receiving yards, 6 receiving TDS
141.9 Fantasy points (non-PPR); 202.4 (PPR)

Stefon Diggs 2020 Fantasy outlook 

Diggs led the entire NFL in deep ball yardage last season, and 31.9 percent of his targets were of the deep variety. So, playing with a wild gun-slinger type like Josh Allen should only benefit him right? People will lazily assume Allen is an upgrade over Cousins for Diggs' deep routes because of his reputation as a 'chucker,' but Cousins had the third-highest passer rating when throwing deep and ranked inside the top-10 in deep ball rate (the percentage of pass attempts that traveled 20-plus yards in the air). Check out their 2019 comparison below:

• Kirk Cousins -- 79 percent catchable target rate, 80 percent adjusted completion rate, 14 percent deep ball rate, 119.7 passer rating on deep passes
• Josh Allen -- 75 percent catchable target rate, 72 percent adjusted completion rate, 15 percent deep ball rate, 64.4 passer rating on deep passes

Diggs was frustrated enough with the run-first scheme in Minnesota to demand a midseason trade last year. Several months later, Diggs was granted the trade he requested, but the scheme in which he landed might be all-too familiar.

The Bills had the seventh-highest run-to-pass ratio last year, only passing marginally more frequently than the Vikings. The good news for Diggs is that while Buffalo only threw incrementally more often than Minnesota, a much higher percentage of those throws went to wide receivers. 63 percent of Allen's attempts went to receivers, as opposed to Cousins' absurdly low rate of 47 percent. Both John Brown and Cole Beasley were able to top 100 targets last year, while Diggs' 94 led all Vikings players.

Even with the potential for an increase in targets, Diggs' Fantasy value is still more likely to drop than rise after the move to Buffalo. His best seasons came with Kirk Cousins throwing him passes, and the drop-off in QB play will be hard to overcome.